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If your game theory predicts extremely high probability outcome, consider hedging related props working backwards. Example getting great value on one team starting quarterback throwing over 2.5 touchdowns then also taking same team winning by 7-12 points range. Structuring correlated positions builds margin for error if original thesis proves directionally accurate but slightly off statistically. DraftKings Super Bowl Shuffle , While boasting 1,200 rush yards this season, versatile running back Miles Sanders gets criminally underutilized Eagles passing attack averaging only 2 catches playoff run. Expect staff incorporating Sanders early utilizing screen game underneath facing relentless Chiefs pass rush keeping him home blocking often. Very makeable average.
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How to Successfully Bet on the Super Bowl DraftKings Super Bowl Lines And Prop Bets , Let’s explore key factors to consider, historical trends and statistical minute to formulate an analytical approach betting football’s biggest coin flip each Super Bowl Sunday:
Avoid Overfitting Use out-of-sample testing to ensure models perform accurately on new data, not just training datasets. Overfit models fail in the real world. DraftKings Ballhawking Playmaker(s) Explosive athletes who flourish gambling and then capitalizing on calculated risks are required to fuel stops in pivotal moments. These touchdown erasing showmen like Ed Reed, Charles Woodson and Minkah Fitzpatrick who generate turnovers and splash plays that turn tides. Units witnessing championships always feature aggressive opportunistic back end thiefs. Ranking: 5th (Middling Probability, Solid Payout) .
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